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Tuesday, 31 October 2017

Zero sum game


Behind all the kerfuffle over the weekend about TeachFirst inviting Toby Young to write a blog and then deleting it because it was "wrong" there are some important issues.
Here is Young's piece, "Are there any limits to what schools can achieve" that caused offence.

The upset came in large part because those taking offence detected a whiff of eugenics. Eugenics is the idea that some people are born stronger, smarter, and easier on the eye and we should aim to have more people like that and fewer weaker, stupider, uglier people. The methods used to achieve this “improvement” of the gene pool in recent history have included economic and political disenfranchisement, forced sterilisation and ethnic cleansing or genocide. This is why the debate got heated.

Eugenics was not limited to the Nazis nor can we glibly claim that it is entirely discredited as some of Francis Galton's hypotheses are now being supported by research evidence. [1]But before we get too hot under the collar, what did Young actually suggest? He pointed to a reasonable amount of research that children's life chances are more likely to be influenced by their social and genetic inheritance than their schooling.

Whilst I may not agree with all of Young's argument or conclusions [3], the idea that a child's parents and their overall social capital (money, level of education, network of connections etc.) have the greatest influence on any child's likelihood of life success is well established and evidenced [2]. Give a moron several hundred million dollars, a sense of entitlement and an address book and he can become leader of the free world... 

Equally established is the construct that schools should do their best to counter the unfair disadvantage of those children who are born without. Less clear is what schools can actually do about it. If money were no object then you could spend significantly more on disadvantaged children and help them catch up. This is the highly creditable idea behind pupil premium funding.

The difficulty is that there is not enough money in the system (and never will be) to give all state educated children a chance to catch up with those whose parents pay to educate them privately. And don't even think about listening to those who say it can be, because the The average fee for top boarding schools now exceeds £30,000 a year whilst the average funding for state primary education is less than £25 a day (or £4,670 per year).

This leads us, painfully, to the realisation that the only way to achieve greater equality is to hold those more fortunate back. And this is not a palatable idea - which in turn is one of the reasons that successive Labour governments have discussed, but ultimately pulled back from, abolishing private education. It is also the only intellectually robust defence of Grammar schools [3], "We don't have enough money to give every child a great education. But we only need 15% or fewer of them to be really well educated to keep the country running. So let's select the best and brightest and spend more on them." The moral difficulty with this position is how do you decide which children get the better education and at which cut-off point(s) do you decide.

The debate becomes even messier once we add in innate differences between children. I think one of the difficulties Young brought upon himself is using the term IQ as the measure of intelligence. Although an IQ score is understood as a measure of intelligence it is as susceptible to coaching as an 11 plus exam. Moreover, IQ is a limited set of attributes that could be explained as 'intelligence'. 

Whether one goes broader and accepts Howard Gardner's model of nine different Multiple Intelligence(s) or narrower to the 'g' model (a measure of general cognitive ability) we are setting ourselves up to fail by drawing the line in the wrong place. And that is before we consider the risks associated with labelling children, in that the children become the labels they are given whether the labels are accurate or not.

I hope that the debate now seems fuzzy, treacherous and probably destined to be unfair.
The discussion should be about how we provide the greatest possible equity of opportunity for all children for the money that society is prepared to pay. But not to pretend that this is excellence and certainly not for all...

....the best we can, given what we have and who we are. We should  aim for transparency about what is and is not possible and that will involve telling some difficult truths both to power and to the people.

 
[1] The podcast library of In Our Time and The Infinite Monkey Cage are as good a place to start as any
[2] See the Rowntree Foundation, Hutton Trust and UNESCO research into the educational impact of child deprivation
[3] My personal view is that singling out people for 'special treatment' in education is as sinister as it sounds; whether it is via Grammar Schools, Free Schools or North Korean reeducation camps





Friday, 27 October 2017

Ponzi schemes revisited

I was recently invited to participate in an education round table with Carrie Lam (CEO Hong Kong) and Nick Gibb (Minister for Schools) - this is an approximation of my brief contribution

Friday, 12 May 2017

Ranty McRant Face

Ye Gods this election is driving me nuts! I need to get this out of my system. A quick run through on some of my current annoyances.

The economy… Who fucked it up?
Unfettered greed and unregulated financial institutions but also all of us who thought we could buy things we couldn’t afford indefinitely

Did the Tories fix it?
Fuck no! They made it worse whilst successfully convincing the electorate that Labour broke it. Despite Labour having a marginally better record on balancing the govt. books over the last 50 years. [I know this is slightly biased source but the data seems sound]

Can you trust the Conservatives with the economy?
You can trust them to keeping telling you that they run a better economy whilst simultaneously shrinking the state, taking from the poor to give to the rich and blaming foreigners for everything bad.  

Can you trust Labour with the economy?
Not this version... Gordon Brown was probably one of the better post-war chancellors and in 2008 as PM probably helped save the world from a much worse fate following the banking crisis? But John McDonnell is dangerous and should never be allowed near the levers of control.

What is the biggest threat to the economy?
The biggest negative impact on the economy is and will continue to be Brexit. If you are in any doubt and still believe the Boris and other bombastic buffoons read the Japanese foreign ministry's note concerning BREXIT.

Oh but BREXIT will be fine the UK is the fourth largest economy in the world the EU has to deal with us...
No it bloody isn’t and not they bloody don’t. Using the PPP model of GDP comparison the UK is the 9th largest economy and falling while the EU is the 2nd largest. The UK isn’t even 4th when you measure GDP in £GBP because the pound has collapsed on the foreign exchange markets so we are now smaller than France. BREXIT has to hurt the UK more than the EU for the simple reason that the EU is built on a collective sacrifice model. If we benefit others may leave. So it has to hurt us because they are much much bigger than us.

Whose fault is that?
Spineless Tories (David and George) who couldn’t think beyond the increase of their own bank balances and next bottle of Chassagne Montrachet but also almost everyone involved in Westminster politics over the last 40 years who contributed to the alienation of the electorate.

Does anyone else have a credible alternative plan?
No

But Immigration, isn’t it a major problem?
This won’t play well in the post industrial North and deprived coastal and rural areas but immigration is not a problem. Without immigration we would have had almost no economic growth over the last 30 years. And refugees...? Well we helped create them so we have a moral obligation to help them. Full stop.

If this is true, why have the above mentioned areas got poorer? 
Because the rich have got richer unrestrained by any political party and Labour are as guilty as the Tories on this one. 

Why is it so important then?
Because areas of the country that have become utterly disenfranchised have been sold the lie that immigration is the problem? 

The NHS?
Can anyone seriously say that they trust the Tories with the NHS? Unfortunately the same applies to a government run by Jeremy Corbyn and John McDonnell.

Taxation
Higher earners like myself should pay marginally more in taxation to provide education, health and welfare to those less fortunate. That doesn’t hurt the economy. 

Jeremy Corbyn?
Yes Tony Blair turned out to be a God-bothering warmonger. But at least he governed. Yes Nick Clegg got stuffed on tuition fees and other dirty compromises of coalition and destroyed the liberal voice in the this country but at least he almost governed. I doubt Corbyn could arrange a fancy dress party in a fancy dress shop.

Theresa May?
But however much I despair at Corbyn’s ineptitude and naivety I don’t doubt he is a decent person. I do not believe for one second that Theresa May gives a flying fuck for the JAMs (Just About Managing) and the poor. The current Tory party appears to me small minded, insular, xenophobic, greedy and devoid of any social purpose.  Bring back John Major, Michael Hessletine and Ken Clarke...

Tim Farron?
A boy sent to do a man’s job

UKIP?
No longer relevant as have effectively infected the tory party like a parasite and taken over the host

The others?
None worth mentioning

I might as well stab myself in the eye now and get it over with!!!!